The numbers for Selke

by Icion on Oct 31, 2010 1:05 PM CDT

The statistical arguement for Jay McClement.

Even Strength Time on Ice =1056

ES Goals Allowed Against = 43

So one ES goal will be scored against him every 24.5 minutes.

Short Handed ToI = 306

SH GAA = 24

Every 12.75 SH minutes a goal will be scored against him.

Quality of competition = .062(higher is better comp)

Quality of Teammates = .054(higher is better teammates)

Relative Competition to team Ratio is 1.070

Giveaways = 28

Takeaways = 39

Blocks = 52

Hits = 66

Short handed faceoffs won = 189

SH Faceoffs Lost = 231

SH Win =45%

ES FoW=503

ES FoL= 470

ES Win= 51%

Penalties In Minutes = 22

Games Played =82

He will see 2 penalty minutes every 7.5 games.

Short Handed Points = 2assists

In 2010 the top 3 Selke nominees were Datsyuk, Kesler and Staal

Datsyuk

ES ToI = 1303min

ES GAA = 44

ESG every 29.6 minutes

SH ToI = 59

SH GAA = 6

SHG every 9.8 minutes

Qualcomp = .029

Qualteam = .364

Rel Qual = .554

Giveaways =73

Takeaways =132

Blocks =33

Hits =89

Short handed faceoffs won =27

SH Faceoffs Lost =29

SH Win = .48%

ES FoW = 447

ES FoL = 362

ES Win = 55%

Penalties In Minutes =18

Games Played = 80

Every 8.8games he will take a minor

Short Handed Points =0

Kesler

ES ToI = 1164

ES GAA = 61

ESG every 19.08

SH ToI = 218

SH GAA =21

SHG every 10.3

Qualcomp = .03

Qualteam = -.02

Rel Qual =.896

Giveaways = 28

Takeaways = 83

Blocks = 73

Hits = 95

Short handed faceoffs won =118

SH Faceoffs Lost =123

SH Win = 48%

ES FoW=530

ES FoL=429

ES Win= 55%

Penalties In Minutes = 104

Games Played = 82

2PiM every game and a half. Some of these were majors and a misconduct though.

Short Handed Points = 1g, 2a

Staal

ES ToI = 1159

ES GAA = 45

ESG every 25.7

SH ToI = 274

SH GAA =29

SHG every 9.44

Qualcomp =.044

Qualteam =.155

Rel Qual =.903

Giveaways =31

Takeaways =41

Blocks =41

Hits =121

Short handed faceoffs won = 118

SH Faceoffs Lost = 148

SH Win = .44%

ES FoW=468

ES FoL=495

ES Win= .48%

Penalties In Minutes = 57

Games Played = 82

A penalty every 2.8 games

Short Handed Points =1g, 3a

In conclusion, none of the 3 top selke canidates last year played against as much top competition as McClement. Jay was the better penalty killer, not the best faceoff man though. Datsyuk hardly plays on the PK and faced the weakest competion playing with the best teammates of the 4. Kesler took a ton of penalties and didn't have the same numbers as the rest but his teammates were garbage. Staal has pretty good numbers but also played with better teammates, was terrible on the faceoff, and was the worst of the 4 on the PK.

Rescources

http://www.behindthenet.ca/stats_2010.html

http://www.nhl.com/ice/playerstats.htm

Any way else I should compare them?

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Comments

Rec'd

Where’s the numbers on how much ass this FanPost kicks?

Well done.

No beer and no TV make Homer...something something.

by Poor College Student on Oct 31, 2010 1:28 PM CDT reply actions

I need a stats guy to help build our case for the Selke this year.

Interested?

I’m going to use what you’ve done here already, but we need to run updates on this year’s progress. We’ll use them in the paper and here on the site. I have a couple other good sites to track shifts and ice time and faceoffs too. I’m just terrible at doing exactly what you’ve done here.

SWYD

by gallagher on Oct 31, 2010 1:47 PM CDT reply actions

Like this?

McClement 2010-2011 stats though 9 games.

Even Strength Time on Ice = 115min
ES Goals Allowed Against = 3
1ESG every 38min

Short Handed ToI = 30
SH GAA = 3
1 SHG every 10min

Quality of competition = .152
Quality of Teammates = -.413
REL Qualcomp = .343

Giveaways = 3
Takeaways = 3
Blocks = 5
Hits = 6

Short handed faceoffs won = 17
SH Faceoffs Lost = 26
SH Win = 39%

ES FoW=37
ES FoL= 46
ES Win=44%

Penalties In Minutes = 2
Games Played = 9
1 minor every 9 games

Short Handed Points =0

He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
Jay McClement for Selke in 2011. Justice will be served. Penalties will be killed.

by Icion on Oct 31, 2010 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions

He has zero SH points, but...

he got a plus for being out there when the Beej scored his shorty (SH goals = a plus, SH goals against don not = a minus).

SWYD

by gallagher on Nov 1, 2010 12:32 AM CDT up reply actions

That. Is. Friggin'. Awesome.

Great, and I mean great, stat work, good sir.

That’s the kind of stuff I want to put together on a regular basis for Prospect Sundays.

Well done.

"If we do not prepare for ourselves the role of the hammer, there will be nothing left but that of the anvil."

-- Otto von Bismarck, 1851

http://futurenotes.blogspot.com

by Tomorrows Blues on Oct 31, 2010 3:03 PM CDT reply actions

Awesome

Near the end of the season, Game Time should release an infographic that visually presents how Selke-worthy Silent Jay is and send it around the blogosphere. Hell, if the Blues keep this pace up the entire 82 games, I’ll probably take a crack at it. This team is turning out to be incredibly exciting.

by russkidan on Oct 31, 2010 3:04 PM CDT reply actions

That's the plan. Brad Lee's Social Media Army is forming and just needs to get focused.

I’d like to do a weekly update on Silent Jay’s progress on the season and his stats, like the group above. Wings fans matter not, the NHL media guys have the votes, so we have to prove our point to them.

Anyone who can help, we can use it.

SWYD

by gallagher on Oct 31, 2010 7:45 PM CDT up reply actions

But, but, but

Datsyuk is the best EVAR. He ALWAYS plays against the other teams’ top lines, and is such a force on offense that the other team is scared to even attempt to score goals on the Wings while he’s out there.

Or so say the fans in “Hockeytown.”

Fantastic analysis, btw. I really would like one of those ignorant Wings fans to attempt to make a counterpoint.

by Washoo on Oct 31, 2010 3:49 PM CDT reply actions

Holy shit

Great statistical analysis!

by NaJaKwa on Oct 31, 2010 9:23 PM CDT reply actions

Very nice

Great job

Hockey players wear numbers because you can't always identify the body with dental records.

It is the sweet, simple things of life which are the real ones after all. Laura Ingalls Wilder

by luvhockey on Oct 31, 2010 10:00 PM CDT reply actions

#JSelke

That’s all.

St. Louis Game Time . . . I need another beer.
And I can also write things in 140 characters or fewer.

by Donut King on Nov 1, 2010 12:29 AM CDT reply actions

Thanks for the info.

And I hate to be a nit-picker. But is there a way that you can arrange these stats so the players are easier to compare?

Maybe four columns with their names at the top, short-handed stats next, even-strength after, and so on?

by Manbones on Nov 1, 2010 3:11 AM CDT reply actions

HTML is our friend...

I’ll be glad to do it if asked. I don’t want to duplicate any efforts that might already be under way.

"If we do not prepare for ourselves the role of the hammer, there will be nothing left but that of the anvil."

-- Otto von Bismarck, 1851

http://futurenotes.blogspot.com

by Tomorrows Blues on Nov 1, 2010 10:26 AM CDT up reply actions

I suck with charts and stuff. If you want to make it look better, go for it.

He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
Jay McClement for Selke in 2011. Justice will be served. Penalties will be killed.

by Icion on Nov 1, 2010 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions