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Why the Blues are struggling:It's not (just) the goalie's fault.

The St. Louis Blues, at this stage of the season, are not good. I wish I could just blame Jaroslav Halak, take a picture of my dog duking on a Stop Sign t-shirt, call for the ascendance of the feared Brain Elliott-Ben Bishop duo and be done with all of this nastiness.

Alas (I've always wanted to use 'alas' and yet, alas, I have not yet been able) this is not so. If you were dumb enough to watch the Blues play the Oilers on Sunday night rather than get to bed early to get a real jump on the week, trooper!* then you got to see the Blues get outplayed by a team that really shouldn't outplay them for a couple more years.

As the Oil took a 4-1 lead I could anticipate what I was going to see and read in the coming day: clearly Halak had let the team down again. But that wasn't so. As others have noted, Halak kept that game from becoming a blowout. The skaters actually let Halak down on Sunday - the goalie's first start in 10 days. As disappointed as the players and fans have been in Halak since the season started, he must have been just as disappointed in his teammates in that game. They scrambled around, chasing the puck like a bunch of mini-mites chasing a blue puck for most of the second period. Rather than skate and engage Oilers forwards, they made feeble stick checks from behind as odd man rushes developed. 

Even one of our favorites, Alex Pietrangelo, got caught trying to take the easy way out at his own blueline and helped create a two-on-one that Halak ended up stopping with a desperation (read:lucky) kick save.

I'm no insider, but I think I can read clues, and all of the clues the Blues are leaving behind are that they aren't that interested in Halak being their franchise goalie. If you could get a couple beers into any of the players or trainers or media guys who hang out with the team a lot (we're looking at you, Jeremy Rutherford - you look like you'd enjoy swilling a few beers on the Game Time tab), I'm willing to bet you'd hear that Brian Elliott is more popular with the boys than Halak is.

In fact, let's let the unspoken words unspeak for themselves, shall we...

Star-divide

Davis Payne, on who is "good" and who "gives our team success" (via Rutherford):

We know Jaro is a guy that we're going to continue to lean on, he's a good goaltender, and he's going to get that chance to go back in. But right now, we're making decisions based on what gives our team success tonight.

Jamie Langenbrunner, on Elliott vs "the other guy" (via Rutherford):

We're all happy for (Elliott), and we're all going to continue to try and play well in front of him, but we're going to make sure that no one thinks we've given up on the other guy either.

Corey Hirsch on Elliott... is there a comparison to Halak? (via Rutherford):

[He] is extremely professional and he's always working on his game. If you watch him in practice, he battles for every puck.

Brian Elliott on one of his wins (and Rutherford's editorial comment about it):

"Everybody wanted that win and everybody was pulling together to do what it takes to get it."

(Rutherford): Some might say pulling together for Elliott.

 

Your conclusion might not be the same as mine, but it seems like the players and coaches and even media guys all think that Elliott is the popular goalie and Halak is not. 

Now, of course, winning fixes all locker room problems and Halak isn't winning much these days, but when you get terrible support like he did in the second period Sunday, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophesy: The goalie played like shit because we played like shit in front of him because we knew the goalie would play like shit. Besides, we clearly like Elliott, who speaks English better and is Canadian like us and is a better dude anyway.

OK, that last bit might be overly editorialized by me.

Regardless, while I clearly think that Halak played poorly enough in his first five starts and Elliott played well enough in his first four starts to justify a shaking up of the netminding situation, I do feel like this team's struggles can't be completely attached to Halak's struggles and Elliott's surge. Look up and down the lineup and the problem becomes obvious.

The top line guys are not carrying the load.

The top three scoring forwards are Alexander Steen (9), Jason Arnott (8) and Matt D'Agostini (6). That is the third line. The next forwards down the line are T.J. Oshie, Patrik Berglund and David Backes with five points each. Five, for the record, is less than one half of a point per game or, as TSN's player pages would let you know, is on-pace for 36 points for the season if they play all 82 games.

Sickening.

Chris Stewart? Maybe it's time for him to remember that Colorado traded him because they thought he sucked. His two goals and one assist are half of Erik Johnson's six points in 11 games. And Johnson, as we all know, is an irresponsible defenseman. That's just ridiculous.

The defense is just fine. Except for the one guy.

The Blues made the mistake of benching Kent Huskins for Nikita Nikitin to start the year. When they took the skittish Russian out and put old faithful in, they started winning. Now that Huskins (2g, 2a, plus-6) is out with a cracked ankle, we're set watching a risky Russian bobble pucks in his own zone and do little in the offensive zone instead (0,0, minus-5).

The other guys? They've been great. Pietrangelo (five points, plus-1), Kevin Shattenkirk (six points, plus-3), Carlo Colaiacovo (three points in six games, plus-2) and Barret Jackman (two pints, plus-3) are better than any collective blueline group since before the lockout. Plus-16 as a group (including Huskins)? How is that possible for a team that is under .500?

 

So, what's the problem, then?

Two things: one is apparent while one is a rumor, a whisper, an allegation. The apparent problem is that this team is relying on certain players to score and they just are not scoring enough. When most NHL teams assign players to the top two lines they assign those six players to score goals. The Blues, for years now, have not been able to count on those six guys to stay healthy and score those goals. 

Take away the injuries to Andy McDonald and David Perron, which definitely hurt, but the top guys in Backes, Stewart, Berglund and Oshie need to let the coaches know who, exactly, who should be on top of the heap. While those four have rested on their popularity and waited for the injured two to come back to the lineup, the supposed third line has kicked their asses in points.

The second reason, the implied inability to trust Jaroslav Halak is just as big of an issue. Halak is a better goalie than Elliott. If he plays the game that he played against Edmonton with a fully functioning group of skaters in front of him, he might just get the win.

If these supposed stars don't get going and the rest of the team doesn't stop blaming Halak and start playing as hard for him as they do for Elliott, this season is headed right down the same path as every season before it since 2006. With a new owner (from Chicago) on the doorstep and likely wanting to make some noise and win some games and a Cup (like Chicago), all these young stud forwards might want to get it going. The Blues shook up the roster with a big trade of a seemingly-untradeable guy last year; the same move seems even more likely this year if things don't change.

 

*Sometimes moms say weird shit that just stays with you, right?

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Comments

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Putting it in terms of scoring the goals to keep pace with the opposing teams...

it’s looking more and more like the Blues lean on Andy McDonald as the go-to guy for offensive inspiration. Relying on one guy to tell everyone how to score goals is very bad. They should know how to do this on their own, and their Captain should be kicking some players in the ass to get them back on scoring track.

Defensively, it looked on Sunday like the Blues almost wanted to cough up the puck to add more shots on Halak. Again, this is something the Captain needs to address, possibly through use of the Chris Carpenter School of Wall-to-Wall Counseling. On top of it, like you said Nikita Nikitin wasn’t doing his job. I think N64 needs to be relegated to Peoria to get his head on straight again. If not, that’s why they have Ian Cole and that guy who the Blues got from Edmonton.

Let's Go Blues!
Support your local NAHL team. Seriously.

by Paperwork Ninja on Nov 1, 2011 11:17 AM CDT reply actions  

scoring on the power play

help a lot in the NHL… the Blues might want to look into that

http://www.stlouisgametime.com/

by cold on Nov 1, 2011 12:49 PM CDT reply actions  

Absolutely

We played like poop on Sunday, no doubt. But scoring a powerplay goal in two or three of those losses and we are above .500 and not having these conversations. This has been the worst I remember seeing our powerplay in years (see 2005-2006). If we can get that rolling, the Blues are in MUCH better shape.

by stlblues1967 on Nov 1, 2011 4:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

two things

1) nikitan has been brutal. what is elliot’s record with nikitan in front of him? AHA!!!

2) yea jaro is being bad so far this year and perhaps the inmates run this asylum, if they do that needs to stop. BUT the power play has little to no benifit from the netminder and someone explain how the players are still managing to suck so hard on it no matter who is in net?

so in brief, i am somewhat concerned about halak, i think everyone should be. but merely adding the next mike weaver on the blueline made a TREMENDOUS difference. I 20 miinute a night d-man is just as important as the net minder some times,

and a power play goal every other game? pah. there would be no ennui in blues land.

maybe a penalty kill or two and there would be nothing but joy

as bad as things are this month was supposed to kill the blues.

the sced was impossible.

the blues need to be firing in janurary. THAT is blues time per the sched gods.

And a harvest of righteousness is grown from the seed of peace planted by peacemakers.

by Childhood Trauma on Nov 1, 2011 1:32 PM CDT reply actions  

every other game PPG?

If only we were so lucky and talented to pull that off.

http://www.stlouisgametime.com/

by cold on Nov 1, 2011 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

every other game

makes you average :)

talent is a lot less than every other game :)

And a harvest of righteousness is grown from the seed of peace planted by peacemakers.

by Childhood Trauma on Nov 1, 2011 5:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

You would think not being able to trust Halak would lead to more inspired play in front of him,

so he wouldn’t have to see the puck as much. If anything, they would be pressing and be too aggressive, not the slop we saw in Edmonton. I really hope they’re not doing what you’ve suggested and playing differently because of who’s in net. That’s fucking pathetic for a professional sports team.

The defense the last two games has not been good. The guys we are counting on to score, haven’t. Maybe someone oughta tell the guys that there’s a new trade deadline in a week so they start playing like they don’t want to be traded, like Berglund last year.

Hail to the Blues

by medel19 on Nov 1, 2011 2:36 PM CDT reply actions  

im glad im not the only one

who thinks nikitin stinks. we saw in the olympics, the khl d-men are not good. the khl is not a good defensive league. nikitin’s experience there, to me, is akin to just a step above juniors and a step below the ahl.

he just doesn’t seem to do a lot right. in 48 career games he’s just a solid “meh.” i’d much rather see ian cole up taking his minutes.

by averagejoe on Nov 1, 2011 5:46 PM CDT reply actions  

look i WANT

nikitan to rock, i want to wear a blues 64, but dude, the guy habitually makes roman polak’s epicness fade away. when you affect roman polak’s ability to play d just by stepping on the ice, something is really really really wrong

And a harvest of righteousness is grown from the seed of peace planted by peacemakers.

by Childhood Trauma on Nov 1, 2011 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

And what does that say about Ian Cole?

For a first round pick, I certainly thought he’d be further along than waiting for the next injury to a dman or a guy like N64 to falter. I can understand the usual mentality of blueliners taking longer to develop than forwards and that playing in Peoria is better than press boxing it in St Louis, but I’m hoping he makes the most of his opportunity whenever he does come up to play

No beer and no TV make Homer...something something.

by Poor College Student on Nov 1, 2011 7:13 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

or poor

kungland whom the blues wouldnt even pay to play in peoria :O)

And a harvest of righteousness is grown from the seed of peace planted by peacemakers.

by Childhood Trauma on Nov 1, 2011 8:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

hmmm I thought..

That the KHL was more of a defensive minded league..

by bleedinblue13 on Nov 1, 2011 11:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

The good players play forward

At a young age the players with the most talent are usually played as forwards because Russians believe thats where the money and most chance of success is. The KHL as a whole is a bit more low scoring because of the bigger ice and defensive mentality but KHL defenseman as a whole suck.

He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
Aren't you that guy who hates the blues?

by Icion on Nov 2, 2011 5:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Obviously...

The problem with the power play is we aren’t power play dancing hard enough.

Joke

MountainBeaver

by MountainBeaver on Nov 1, 2011 10:06 PM CDT via iPhone app reply actions  

The end of last year

We think Ben Bishop sucked last year for the same reason the second period made Halak suck. I remember thinking repeatedly at the end that our defense was letting big ben down. We had just lost Brewer(who was playing like a first line defender) and EJ(who actually doesnt suck he just wasnt playing as big as we hoped) and i cant remember if we had a few injuries in the mix as well towards the end but we were rolling a bunch of AHLers and it just looked pitiful.

Numbers that dont mean anything unless you know what they mean.

Nikitin has the second highest qualcomp on the team behind andy mac.
His Zone start and finish are right around 50%
He has been on the ice for 3 blues goals(lowest for defensemen).
8 even strength goals against, 2 Power play goals against.

Just numbers I figured id mention some stats about niki for no reason really.

He raged at the world, at his family, at his life. But mostly he just raged.
Aren't you that guy who hates the blues?

by Icion on Nov 2, 2011 5:58 AM CDT reply actions  

He has been on the ice for the fewest goals

But I’d be curious to see how his ice time compares to our other D-men.

Barret Jackman is my hero.

In remembrance of Pavol Demitra and all our fallen Blues brethren.

by BluesTiger on Nov 2, 2011 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

double edged sword

if his ice time is low than that might explain the few goals scored- but it would make his TEEEEEEEEEEEEENNNNN goals against (in 4 fewer games than many d-man on this team) even brutally more brutal.

And a harvest of righteousness is grown from the seed of peace planted by peacemakers.

by Childhood Trauma on Nov 2, 2011 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

At least the goal differential 5 on 5 is good (+5)

Unfortunately the goal differential on special teams is really, really bad (-8). They need to be at least even on special teams.

All that being said…they are still only 1 point behind Detroit and they have played the fewest home games in the league.

by forgetyerskatesdream on Nov 2, 2011 9:48 AM CDT reply actions  

I thought they played well on Friday night

but just couldn’t get any breaks against Kippers. Sunday it looked like our boys had tired legs. But yeah, the special teams have been brutal, somethings gotta give there.

If you can't say anything nice, don't say anything at all.

by labbadabba on Nov 2, 2011 11:32 AM CDT reply actions  

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