Erik Johnson Packs His Bags: A statistical breakdown of the trade

Normally I only cover Oilers stuff, but this Erik Johnson/McClement vs. Stewart/Shattenkirk trade is not only a blockbuster, but one that seems to be fairly unbalanced after I dive into the numbers below.

over 1 year ago mindmasher 7 comments 0 recs |

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Interesting analysis.

This gives me a clearer picture as to why Avs fans would be so apoplectic about the trade.

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by Donut King on Feb 19, 2011 4:45 PM CST reply actions

If I’m the Blues, I’m probably liking this trade. I think EJ has been supplanted in almost every way imaginable by Pietrangelo’s play. McClement was also similarly replaceable, so if you have sold EJ while his value is still quite high, and he never recovers, it’s a great trade for the Blues.

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by mindmasher on Feb 20, 2011 3:29 AM CST up reply actions

nice work

by callmez on Feb 19, 2011 7:00 PM CST reply actions

Thanks ;)

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by mindmasher on Feb 20, 2011 3:29 AM CST up reply actions

i think if everyone sees this post

and reads it they will be a bit happier

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by DESTROYER on Feb 19, 2011 11:03 PM CST reply actions

Really interesting look

And this part is something those watching him regularly know, and (for me at least) wonder if it tells something more about him:

We see that Johnson is facing bottom tier competition amongst the STL D core. This really surprised me, as I always had the impression he was their tough minutes guy and tough zone start guy. It surprised me enough that I took a look at last year, and it turns out he was 5th on the team for Corsi Rel QoC and had a mammoth 60% zone start.

I think that has always been the projection/hope with him, but they’ve got other guys they like to use in that category, meanwhile even in better positions his offense wasn’t coming this year.

Hard to say if he’s just temporarily stalled — the year off with the knee injury may have been a factor, as may be the emergence of a younger and at this point better D-an in Petro — or if he isn’t and will not ever be the guy they hoped for. In which case they sold early but … maybe they sold high?

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by Dominik on Feb 20, 2011 2:27 PM CST reply actions