5 Years of Corsi

Making Steve Ott look good. - Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports

Some of the Blues are above average and some of the Blues are Max Lapierre.

So how do the Blues fare when you look at Corsi over the last 5 years? I looked at the model

LinearModel.2 = lm(CORSION ~ NAME, data=Corsi5y, weights=Minutes)

which gave me parameter estimates for each player, as well as a precision of the estimate. I ranked the players by t-value, which is estimate/precision. So Tarasenko has an estimated value of 17.43 and Steen has an estimate of 12.75, but Steen ranks higher because his standard error of the estimate is 2.5 and Tarasenko, having played less, has a standard error of 4.6. Rank is their rank in the NHL as a whole.

Rank

Coefficients:

Estimate

StdError

tvalue

Pr(>|t|)

22

ALEXANDERSTEEN

12.75

2.58

4.942

8.18e-07

37

ALEXPIETRANGELO

9.46

2.29

4.137

3.62e-05

40

DAVIDBACKES

9.20

2.26

4.071

4.81e-05

50

VLADIMIRTARASENKO

17.43

4.66

3.743

0.000185

57

KEVINSHATTENKIRK

8.62

2.45

3.515

0.000447

75

T.J.OSHIE

7.80

2.48

3.14

0.001704

79

CARLOCOLAIACOVO

8.78

2.85

3.075

0.002121

82

VLADIMIRSOBOTKA

7.95

2.67

2.976

0.002949

97

PATRIKBERGLUND

6.75

2.44

2.769

0.005649

138

JADENSCHWARTZ

8.97

3.99

2.248

0.02467

273

DEREKROY

2.71

2.56

1.056

0.291256

318

KEITHAUCOIN

4.97

5.69

0.874

0.382257

344

IANCOLE

3.17

4.02

0.788

0.430917

381

DMITRIJASKIN

7.76

11.81

0.657

0.510985

394

BARRETJACKMAN

1.37

2.22

0.618

0.53656

517

ADAMCRACKNELL

1.55

7.03

0.22

0.826124

575

CHRISPORTER

0.42

4.32

0.096

0.923313

643

TYRATTIE

-3.46

39.40

-0.088

0.930027

816

RYANREAVES

-2.14

4.34

-0.493

0.621758

875

JAYBOUWMEESTER

-1.30

1.96

-0.66

0.509406

884

ROMANPOLAK

-1.53

2.27

-0.675

0.499753

977

MAGNUSPAAJARVI

-2.83

3.22

-0.876

0.380878

1113

CHRISSTEWART

-3.36

2.49

-1.348

0.177908

1138

JORDANLEOPOLD

-3.37

2.33

-1.444

0.148752

1210

BRENDENMORROW

-4.41

2.50

-1.761

0.078416

1381

STEVEOTT

-7.69

2.37

-3.246

0.001185

1435

MAXIMLAPIERRE

-11.67

2.69

-4.331

1.53e-05

There are 1444 players in the data base, so Lapierre is ahead of only 9 players. The top 10 Blues are better than average. Only Ott and Lapierre are below-average.

Corsi Rel is Corsi On – Corsi Off. The Blues are an above-average team. So Corsi Rel values for Blues players will tend to be less than Corsi On. Here only the top 6 Blues are above-average and the bottom 7 are below-average. Lapierre drops to number 1443, ahead of only Tanner Glass.

Rank

Coefficients:

Estimate

StdError

tvalue

Pr(>|t|)

37

ALEXANDERSTEEN

10.50866

2.42057

4.341

1.46e-05

61

VLADIMIRTARASENKO

15.87046

4.3674

3.634

0.000284

94

KEVINSHATTENKIRK

6.79575

2.29916

2.956

0.003144

113

ALEXPIETRANGELO

5.81827

2.14399

2.714

0.006691

116

DAVIDBACKES

5.64372

2.12037

2.662

0.007818

157

CARLOCOLAIACOVO

5.7566

2.67649

2.151

0.031573

207

T.J.OSHIE

3.91284

2.32864

1.68

0.093003

267

JADENSCHWARTZ

4.87387

3.74295

1.302

0.192968

273

KEITHAUCOIN

6.84461

5.33456

1.283

0.199569

284

VLADIMIRSOBOTKA

3.10318

2.50682

1.238

0.215853

340

PATRIKBERGLUND

2.20151

2.28686

0.963

0.335789

343

DEREKROY

2.26707

2.40345

0.943

0.345629

375

MAGNUSPAAJARVI

2.55471

3.02388

0.845

0.398267

523

TYRATTIE

13.6

36.95799

0.368

0.712911

646

DMITRIJASKIN

0.22702

11.07388

0.021

0.983646

727

ADAMCRACKNELL

-1.31557

6.59637

-0.199

0.841934

1037

CHRISPORTER

-4.13988

4.05554

-1.021

0.307435

1077

IANCOLE

-4.37433

3.77382

-1.159

0.2465

1097

BRENDENMORROW

-2.87087

2.34764

-1.223

0.221475

1148

JORDANLEOPOLD

-3.15304

2.18978

-1.44

0.150005

1242

CHRISSTEWART

-4.59668

2.33627

-1.968

0.049216

1246

STEVEOTT

-4.43982

2.22273

-1.997

0.045867

1274

BARRETJACKMAN

-4.63513

2.08316

-2.225

0.026153

1303

RYANREAVES

-9.8891

4.07352

-2.428

0.015256

1322

JAYBOUWMEESTER

-4.76533

1.84118

-2.588

0.009696

1425

ROMANPOLAK

-9.46791

2.12596

-4.453

8.76e-06

1443

MAXIMLAPIERRE

-17.38099

2.5269

-6.878

7.36e-12

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