Blues By The Numbers

St. Louis Blues Shooting Map

Interactive heat map showing the location of shots taken and shooting percentage at that location. View can be filtered for individual players, distance, or situation.

Steve Ott or a Penalty Kill?

Is nothing better than Steve Ott?

Is the Blues' power play shooting high and wide?

CrossCheckRaise (aka Tim) asked me an interesting question over the weekend about whether or not the Blues are missing the net a lot when taking shots during the power play. Here is my answer in two charts.

Is Berglund in control of his own fate?

After a relatively lackluster start to his season, Berglund returned from Sochi a changed man. But how much of his good looking numbers is attributable to him and how much to his linemates?

Goalie Poll

Who was the best goalie to change teams at the Trade Deadline?

Giving Up Goals In Bunches

Turns out the Blues give up "Goals in Bunches" at a rate better than average and about what you would expect from an elite defensive team.

The Ryan Miller Trade By the Numbers

Just a quick look comparing numbers between the key players involved in the St. Louis/Buffalo blockbuster trade today.

Are Goalies Binomial?

Save percentage varies some from shot to shot. Does it differ enough to matter?

Estimating Goalies: When Bayes Fails.

Sometimes the Bayes Method gives you better answers than the Frequentist Method, sometimes it doesn't.

St. Louis Blues Score Situations Breakdown

ExtraSkater recently added a new page that combines possession stats with percent of 5v5 TOI for a variety of score situations. So of course I made a dataviz using this data to show you how the Blues compare with other teams.

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Measures of Player Value: Goals and Money

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. At some point you have to convert those metrics into cold hard cash.

Universal Measures of Player Value: Why They Fail

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. Over a single season, metrics fail because of our old friend: randomness.

Okay, you can start worrying about Chris Stewart

Blues fans are always quick to judge Chris Stewart. Earlier this season I suggested they back off. But after a re-evaluation near the half-way mark of the season, there can be cause for concern.

Universal Measures of Player Value: THoR

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. "Total Hockey Rating" is another attempt.

Universal Measures of Player Value: APM

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. "Adjusted Plus-Minus" is another attempt.

Halak versus Elliott Round Two

Can we just shut up now about this non-existent goalie controversy.

Universal Measures of Player Value: Delta

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. Delta was another attempt.

Universal Measures of Player Value: GVT

Analytics has tried to find a universal currency for player values. Goals Versus Threshold, or GVT, was one of the first attempts.

Blues Shot Tracker

Blues are shooting at 12% so far this season. But the Blues latest star, Jaden Schwartz, is shooting at 17% and averaging 27% over his last 5 games.

Paying for Goaltending

Why AND is better than OR: The advantage of riding the hot hand

Goalie Options: Tim Thomas

You want a goalie? Let's get a Goalie!

Miller versus Halak

Is Ryan Miller statistically better than Jaroslav Halak?

Fenwick Error

Fenwick for a full season has a 95% Confidence interval of about 43.5% to 56.5%.

St. Louis Blues Shot Tracker

Where, when, and how the St. Louis Blues are shooting and scoring on the ice.

Corsi Error: Part 3

Monte Carlo suggests that the 95% Confidence Interval for Corsi/60 for a full season is about +/-13.7. Season to season variation suggests the 95% Confidence Interval is about +/- 14.5.

Corsi Error: Part 2

If Corsi production rates were fixed, the 95% Confidence Interval for Corsi/60 for a season would be +/- 4.8. Corsi production varies considerably from game to game. As a result, the 95% Confidence Interval for Corsi/60 for a season appears to be +

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