Blues By The Numbers

A look at the Blues from a stat-head perspective.

Are the Blues goalies a question mark?

Why is the MSM worried about Elliott and Allen?

Type 1 Error, Analytics, and the NHL

2

I channel my inner curmudgeon and look into the future for Analytics.

Why winners in the NHL score 2/3 of all goals

+

Short answer: because they have to.

Shot Differential

2

"Shot differential is the only thing that matters"

Blocking Shots and Save Percentage

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Blocking Shots doesn't seem to impact Save Percentage.

Truculence

2

Hockey's new favorite word.

DIY Corsi Analysis

2

A tool to do your own analysis on which corsi events had the most impact on players' possession numbers broken out by game.

Sobotka vs Ott

16

With Sobotka fleeing to Russia, it looks like the Blues are going to replace him with Steve Ott. Should fans be worried? Yes.

Berglund vs Sobotka: QoC and OZ Starts

9

Let's compare the Quality of Competition and Offensive Zone starts between Berglund and Sobotka during the course of the season.

Berglund's Contract

3

The sky is falling! Or not.

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Compliance Buyouts

11

How do teams stand relative to the projected salary cap? Who might get an early start on unrestricted free agency?

Jason Spezza

26

How would Spezza fit in the lineup? How does the budget look?

Shots Faced And Save Percentage

3

Low shot totals and poor performances seem to go hand-in-hand.

Bad Goalie Contracts

3

What makes a contract bad? Bad goalie. Too much money. Too long.

5 years of Corsi

5

Some of the Blues are above average and some of the Blues are Max Lapierre.

Predicting Corsi

6

You can (sort of) predict Corsi using either the last two years or Corsi for the player's career.

Bad Trades

32

The Blues have made some.

Hot Goalies?

+

There's no question that goalies get hot (or cold). It's just hard to see it in small samples.

Does Corsi Change With Age?

14

Maybe. Maybe not. We really don't have enough data for a clear-cut answer.

Predicting Goaltending Performance

2

You can't predict randomness.

Shootout Save Percentage

+

Executive Summary: Goalies do not differ in Shootout.

Power Play Save Percentage

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Executive Summary: Goalies do not differ on the Power Play. Teams do not differ either.

Penalty Kill Save Percentage

+

Executive Summary: Goalies do not differ on the Penalty Kill. Teams do not differ either.

Even Strength Save Percentage

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Executive Summary: Goalies differ at Even Strength. Teams are the same.

How The Front Office Failed

54

Critical mistakes in 2 areas doomed the Blues.

Converting Possession to Goals

1

Which St. Louis Blues players are converting puck possession into goals and how do the Blues compare against the Blackhawks through the first three games of round one.

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